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Link prediction in multiplex networks via triadic closure

Michele Starnini

ISI Foundation

Link prediction algorithms can help to understand the structure and dynamics of complex systems, to reconstruct networks from incomplete data sets, and to forecast future interactions in evolving networks. Available algorithms based on similarity between nodes are bounded by the limited amount of links present in these networks. In this talk, we show how to reduce this latter intrinsic limitation and show that different kinds of relational data can be exploited to improve the prediction of new links. To this aim, we propose a link prediction algorithm by generalizing the Adamic-Adar method to multiplex networks composed by an arbitrary number of layers, that encode diverse forms of interactions. We show that this metric outperforms the classical single-layered Adamic-Adar score and other state-of-the-art methods, across several social, biological, and technological systems. As a by-product, the coefficients that maximize the multiplex Adamic-Adar metric indicate how the information structured in a multiplex network can be optimized for the link prediction task, revealing which layers are redundant. Interestingly, this effect can be asymmetric with respect to predictions in different layers. As an application, we specifically consider a multiplex representation of scientific networks, including collaboration, citations, common keywords between scientists, showing that the information included in publication records can be leveraged to improve the prediction of new scientific collaborations.

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Michele Starnini is currently Research Fellow in Network and Data Science at ISI Foundation. Before, he was Principal Investigator of a project funded by the J. S. McDonnell Foundation, at the University of Barcelona. His interests are the understanding of emerging socio-economic phenomena, such as the epidemic spreading of behaviors or ideas in a population, the dynamics of physical interactions in social gatherings, or cooperation/collaboration among individuals. At a more theoretical level, he studies the behavior of dynamical processes on static and time-varying networks.


Nov 9, 2021

11:00 am


Online via Zoom

Time given in ET/New York

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